Watch climate change it's diapers.

from e:mail to a friend:..

"(from  http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/04/02/the-big-list-of-failed-climate-predictions/ ) “We are now at the threshold of making reliable [climate] statements about the future.”
Daniela Jacob, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, page 44, 10/2001

...Now this seems to be more of a truism than many other thoughts out there.  Are global average/median temperatures on many scales including warmth, Arctic sea ice melt, glacial/ice thickness and sea suface temperatures slowly trending GLOBALY in a certain direction?  Yes.

But it was real fucking cold in Minnesota this winter.  Brutal.  The Great lakes even froze!.. just like they used to damn near EVERY other or third winter.  ..meanwhile, large chunks of Alaska had record warmth for a good portion of the winter.  

What concerns me is  not the overall warming of the planet (do an independent analysis on records instead of having some media tell you what is what) or freezing of the Great Lakes, or record hurricanes, or super few tornadoes this year (so far) in the US, but the day-to-day, month-to-month, this season vs. next season data.

Last winter season and before brought record cold to AK.  This winter brought record warmth to some regions (and AK is so big it has regions)

Here in Cali?  Record cold in early Dec followed by record highs, dominated by a summer weather pattern for Califorina.   Also, one of the driest calendar years on record.

Next winter?  A good possibility of record WET weather.  The plot sickens.

You understand, I am so happy to hear, phase changes in states of materials and systems.  Climate, to me, is undergoing a phase change, where chaos rules.  Things have a 50/50 chance of going hither or thither in the weather department.

If it is +10 degrees above average this winter for a given locale, and -10 the next winter, what is the average over 2 years going to be?  NORMAL.  This is simple math that anyone can achieve.

I'm not with you; I'm not against you.  But when we're running August normal temps in late Jan while the east of the US is getting belted with waves of record cold not seen in 20 years... something is not average here.

More people than not - both warmists and deniers - are looking at the wrong metrics.

Where to look?  no more than month-to-month comparisons with historical records.  So it falls in between climate (three decades) and weather (current conditions).  

The devil has us on his tail, and there will be much weeping and gnashing of teeth in years to come."

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